[Written in March 2016]<\/p>\n
Since the results could come down to California, a detailed look is in order. Trump currently has a 16% lead, but that is potentially misleading, and gets worse.<\/p>\n
Each political party in California decides if it wants to allow independents to vote in their primaries. Republicans do not allow independents to decide on Election Day to choose a Republican ballot – the voter must reregister as Republican by May 23 (the election is June 7th)<\/p>\n
California has 59 congressional districts. The California delegation will consist of the 3 RNC members, 10 statewide “winner take all” delegates and 3 delegates from each of the 59 districts (winner take all within the district). While Congressional Districts are required to be similar in population, there is a huge difference in the number of Republicans in each district. That means a voter in Orange County has much less influence than a Republican in North Beach in San Francisco. It also greatly increases the motivation for Democrats to register as Republicans in low Republican districts. A few Democratic voters could flip 3 delegates to or away from Trump.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
[Written in March 2016] Since the results could come down to California, a detailed look is in order. Trump currently has a 16% lead, but that is potentially misleading, and gets worse. Each political party in California decides if it … Continue reading