With his devastating loss in New York, it is now mathematically impossible for Ted Cruz to win on the first ballot. It was an extremely improbable outcome even if you’re an optimist. As I’m headed to dream land, the 95 delegates went 89 to Trump, 3 to Kasich and 3 still undecided.<\/p>\n
So we are down to two possible outcomes (barring something unexpected) – either Trump will win the nomination on the first ballot, or Republicans will have a very messy convention.<\/p>\n
While Rubio, Carson and Kasich could officially release their delegates, they can’t steer their delegates to vote for Cruz. If Trump can get Pennsylvania’s unbound delegates on his side, he wins.<\/p>\n
Polls are a bit thin for the late primaries, but Cruz is unlikely to do well in NJ, CT, DE, RI, MD and WV.<\/p>\n
The RNC rules committee is meeting Wednesday to Friday of this week to decide what to do. The drums of war are beating loudly. It would take a brazen robbery now to stop Trump. Either the RNC can lean back and enjoy being reamed and work for unity, or detonate mutually assured destruction. Hillary is cackling in the wings either way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
With his devastating loss in New York, it is now mathematically impossible for Ted Cruz to win on the first ballot. It was an extremely improbable outcome even if you’re an optimist. As I’m headed to dream land, the 95 … Continue reading