Archive for the ‘Financial Collapse’ Category

GM may still go under

Wednesday, July 22nd, 2009

GM was rushed through bankruptcy, but there is another part of their problems that wasn’t solved, and could still drag them down, or possibly require us to throw more good money after bad.

Back in the 1990s, GM split out its part making operations into a separate company called Delphi (kind of a nicer name than AC Delco). Delphi has been languishing in bankruptcy for upward of 5 years, with many of the core component businesses being sold off to competitors, but Delphi still makes many of the critical parts and components for GM – the kind of stuff where you have to be directly involved in the engineering of the car long before it even hits the prototype stage.

Delphi’s bondholders voted and refused the latest reorganization plan. More than likely their game plan is… GM is now owned by Tim Geithner and he can’t let Delphi fail and take GM with it, so either GM will have to buy us back (with what money?) or Geithner will have to show up with a bucket full of money to bail us out, too.

Hence the principle that Geithner still doesn’t understand:
“When you reward failure, you get more of it”… if people believe you will “rescue” them, they not only will avoid solving their own problems, but start engaging in more and more reckless behavior knowing that Mommy & Daddy will be there to “backstop” them.

The suggestion has been made to use the same “We gotta do it yesterday” fast track bankruptcy procedure on Delphi – but since their bankruptcy is five years old, it seems hard to make a case that this is now an emergency. I don’t know if there is a precedent for declaring an emergency because “if this company fails, it would cause another company to fail”.  Then again, following the law doesn’t seem to be in fashion for the past few months.

The news today is that the Feds have taken over responsibility for the Delphi employees pensions. The federal agency that handles this sets caps on overly generous pensions, especially for those who retired way before 65…. so it will hit early retirees hard (or high income retirees), in order to keep the pension fund solvent and pay a reasonable pension for the rest (and not totally turn it into a government bailout).  If you make the pension guaranty corporation’s terms too good, then companies will just stop funding their pension plans, knowing the Tim Geithner will jump in and rescue the people on pensions 5 years from now.

Delphi being rescued

Thursday, July 16th, 2009

If you’re old and/or have spent hours waiting for a car to be fixed in a GM Dealership, you probably know an automotive parts brand called AC Delco.   It was a subsidiary of GM.   They made/make a variety of parts for GM cars – air filters, spark plugs, transmissions, batteries, radios, braking systems.     In the mid 1990s, GM was starting to feel the pressure to start adequate funding of its pension fund and retiree promises of lifetime health care benefits.   

 One of the steps GM took to raise money was to sell off AC Delco – they started the process in 1995 and then sold the company in an IPO in 1999.  That also gave Delco more flexibility to deal with union issues away from the car assembly business and to move some parts manufacturing outside of the United States.

GM is still heavily dependent on Delphi for parts – if there is no Delphi, there is no GM.   Delphi has been in bankruptcy for  4 years.  So today is the last day for Delphi to come up with offers to bring the company out of bankruptcy.

Delphi seems to have found a solution today.

NY Times story

A personal aside – back in 1986, I was working for Buick City as a contractor doing computer work. At the time, GM was using brute force to tell their suppliers they would have to start placing AIG standard barcodes on pallets of parts being shipped, and enter shipping data into GM’s systems when parts were shipped, in order to implement “Just in Time” parts management at the assembly plant. The suppliers either had to comply, or would no longer be a supplier to GM. AC Delco was the one entity that seemed unable or unwilling to comply, requiring all of their part information to have to be entered by hand – and Delco used different part numbers for their parts than GM did. Buick City is now just an empty field in Flint Michigan, reverting back to nature.

Beware of being rescued

Wednesday, July 15th, 2009

I can’t tell you the name of the movie, where or when I saw it, but it’s one of those ideas that sticks with you….

Attractive woman is walking down the street by herself in the middle of the day, and a young kid runs by and steals her purse….  kid runs down the street, where a handsome looking man (having seen what just happened) grabs the kid and the purse – the kid gets away, and the “Hero” goes over to the woman and gives her the purse back, and the shaken women immediately embraces her hero, and they quickly go off somewhere and have sex.

What she doesn’t know is that she was conned.  The child was actually working for the “hero”.   The entire thing was scripted and prearranged to terrorize the woman and have the woman run into the arms of the man and do whatever he wanted to her.   

I don’t remember the rest of the movie – whether she ends up being killed or sold into prostitution or some other fate – but I hope the point is clear.  When Tim Geithner shows up to “rescue” you, he’s not your friend.  I think people are beginning to catch on to that.

Keep CIT in your prayers.

“New GM” recalls workers – to build luxury SUVs

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

Well, not technically SUVs.   The new term is “Crossover” vehicles.   It’s a luxury vehicle with all the bells and whistles, but with a hatchback and room to carry lots of stuff.

The Detroit News reports that the factory in the Lansing Michigan area will recall 900 people to restart the second shift. If you haven’t heard of the Builck Enclave, here is their website. The price starts at $35,000. Standard features include:

  • 4975 pound curb weight
  • 4 Wheel Drive, 18″ wheels
  • Seating for 7
  • 288 horsepower V6 engine
  • Bose Stereo with XM Radio
  • Mileage – 16 City, 22 Highway
  • Remote keyless entry
  • Onstar

Optional features include:

  • Rear parking assist

You people just haven’t got the message yet!

On a slightly related note, the LA Times reports that US Government owned Bank of America has announced it will finances purchases of the Tesla Electric car, a $109,000+ sports car.

Bankruptcy Watch – NV Broadcasting files 11

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

NV Broadcasting owns 14 TV stations and has filed for bankruptcy.   Several other TV station owners are already in bankruptcy and Sinclair is considering it.   NV is located in Atlanta, and is “turning over the company” to its private equity lenders.

Meanwhile, BloomBama News Service says the economy is rebounding because the price of gasoline went up.

Bankruptcy Watch – J.L. French

Monday, July 13th, 2009

Now that the Geithner GM plan to “take” the “good” GM assets has been brute forced through the bankruptcy courts, the companies owed money by the now worthless “Bad” GM will start all falling over.   J.L. French makes aluminum components for all of the “big 3”.

The account in the Detroit Free Press mentions that American Axle, another automotives parts suppplier in Detroit will also probably have to file bankruptcy.   And the dominoes keep falling…  along with the TOTUS…

It’s kind of hard to make cars without the parts.

Bankruptcy Watch – Sinclair Broadcasting

Monday, July 13th, 2009

According to the Baltimore MD Business Journal, Sinclair Broadcasting has filed an 8-K form (Material Event) stating that they may be forced to file Chapter 11. Sinclair used to be in the radio business, but sold that part of the company about 10 years ago. They operate 38 TV stations, and have been hard hit by the drop in TV advertising for automobiles.  

Not mentioned in the story is Sinclair was also the target of a boycott in 2004 for planning to run a TV show that showed Vietnam Hero Senator John “F” Kerry in an unfavorable light.

Bankruptcy Watch – CIT

Saturday, July 11th, 2009

This is CIT, not CitiGroup.   THIS IS HUGE.

CIT is a commercial lender.  They loan money to businesses.   They had tried to get FDIC coverage on their obligations, but the FDIC has said no way.  FDIC coverage is for retail banks  (which is what Paulson/Geithner/FDIC should have said to American Express and GE Capital).   They had also been involved with mortgage investments, which they have already exited.

According to Reuters, CIT has retained a bankruptcy firm and is writing up the paperwork to file bankruptcy.   Commercial lending (funding of shopping centers, office buildings, factories, leases of airplanes and rail cars, factoring of receivables) tends to take a bit longer to go into default than consumer lending.

This might be the first indirect fallout of the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies.  By setting the precedent that Tim Geithner can brute force companies through bankruptcy, forcing the government and non-secured creditors to the head of the line and leaving the bondholders with all the worthless junk, that is going to kill the ability of companies to raise money by selling secured bonds by companies that have any hint of financial problems.    There is no free lunch.   The “quick fix” has unintended consequences.

CIT will announce its earnings on July 23rd.  That seems the logical date to also announce their restructuring.  The company lost about $1 a share in the first quarter of 2009.   A year ago their stock sold for about $60 a share, it is now approaching $1 a share, which is the kiss of death for a publicly traded stock.

In addition to what a bankruptcy will do to people holding stock and bonds, clients who rely on them for working capital (like selling receivables to get the cash sooner) will have to find another commercial bank.   If the clients themselves are on shaky ground, they will have trouble finding access to loans on their existing terms, and they could ultimately cascade into this dark deep hole being dug by Tim Geithner.

Tim Geithner and Mr Paulson created a “temporary” commercial lending facility run by the U.S. Treasury and funded by the Federal Reserve that is “cherry picking” the least risky and most profitable commercial lending clients, which will ultimately bury all of the commercial banks if it doesn’t go away (There is no such thing as a temporary government program).  

If you’re in business, you can’t compete against the government and survive, because the government owns all the weapons.   That’s why the notion that the US government and Health Insurance companies competing will never work.  Either it is extremely naive or it is deliberate strategy for complete government control after capitalism “fails”.

Bankruptcy Watch – Kellwood

Friday, July 10th, 2009

Kellwood is an apparel  company that markets Phat Farm, Sag Harbor and Vince clothing lines.   Headquartered in Saint Louis and employing about 2,000 people, it is expected to default on its loans next Wednesday and file Chapter 11.

Wall Street Journal Story

Surely the millions of ACORN workers will need uniforms – this could be a win-win deal when Tim Geithner “Saves” this company from itself.

Bankruptcy Watch – Bender Shipbuilding

Wednesday, July 1st, 2009

Bender Shipbuilding, a 91 year old ship building and repair company in Mobile, Alabama has been forced into involuntary bankruptcy.  There aren’t all that many U.S. based shipbuilding companies.   The Obama machine rolls on