Posts Tagged ‘GM’

February 23 2009 – holding Europe together

Monday, February 23rd, 2009

European leaders are trying to figure out how to keep a unified strategy to fend off collapse, and not have each country pursuing their own interests. [good luck on that!]  Reading Material

The NY Times (and IHT which they own) and the Wall Street Journal say the US Treasury met on Sunday with CitiGroup to discuss converting the preferred stock the US Treasury holds into common stock.  This would take “debt” off the balance sheet, but squeeze out the existing common stock holders.  No cash is generated to CitiGroup by doing this.  It only changes the financial ratios to make them look less insolvent – and removes the obligation on the preferred stock to get paid “interest” first in line.   This is rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.  It doesn’t change the ultimate outcome.

The US Treasury is also talking to banks (CitiGroup?) about coming up with $40 billion in Debtor in Possession funding for a GM/Chrysler Bankruptcy.  According the accounts “Everything is on the table”.   I hope the UAW is ready to embrace “change”.

NY Times Forbes Reuters

Once the US Treasury can tell banks who to lend to and for what reason (or no reason), the lessons we didn’t learn from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will explode.   Expect CitiGroup to be forced to loan money now to a full range of businesses which have no chance of ever making a profit – to advance a political agenda and harvest a new crop of political party donations for the party in power or pay back favors to special interest groups (like the UAW).


Trading in Hong Kong [China] is up sharply (3%+).  Japan is down slightly, as one of the major Japanese lenders filed for bankruptcy protection, and signs that Japan may not be quite as strong as people had thought.

Markets in Europe are open, up about 1-2%

Pre-market trading in futures suggest the US Stock market will open about the same as Europe – up 1 to 2%

So why not Chapter 11 for GM?

Friday, February 20th, 2009

The Wall Street Journal lays out the case for GM to let the bankruptcy process resolve their issues here

This is exactly why the bankruptcy law was created in the first place.  It allows a company with an unviable business model to either do the things it needs to do to fix itself, or be sold off or dismantled in way that protects the interests of the people who are owed money or who have purchased the company’s products in the past.

Having worked inside GM (not as an employee), the thing that I think the Harvard Law Professor is missing is the “cost” of cutting loose those “legacy” costs of the promises to the UAW workers.  Many of the people in the UAW are third generation auto workers.  Reducing the pensions and retiree benefits to a current worker’s father and grandfather will lead to sabotage, aggression, violence and deliberately defective products.  I can’t see a GM filled with angry UAW workers surviving, and I doubt Toyota wants to buy additional assembly plant capacity and the “legacy” that GM leaves behind.

TheStreet.com seems to be thinking the same thing.

Bankruptcy Watch – Saab

Friday, February 20th, 2009

Svedish car maker Saab (owned by GM) has sought protection from creditors.   GM had previously intended to sell Saab, but apparently has decided to jettison it.

Drove my Chevy to the levee….

Thursday, January 1st, 2009

It’s been coming for 6 months, so few people are going to be surprised.  That doesn’t mean it won’t be unpleasant.

June 1st is Bankruptcy Day for Generous Motors.   Germany and Canada are making last minute adjustments to spin off Opal.  Hummer is probably going to China.  Saturn is probably kaput.   The “good” GM is going to start making cars that nobody will buy (unless forced to by the Obama administration, which is entirely probable).

All of the companies in the auto supply business (unless they do big business with Ford) are going to be selling off their parts for spare parts and going under.

The UAW won one “concession” that one plant that will make 160,000 tiny cars a year will stay in the U.S. and not move to China.

Companies that are owed money by G.M. will now be compelled to write off their accounts receivable.   Depending on just how thoroughly Mr Geithner has “backstopped” American Business, that might cause other companies (like radio companies) to topple.

While interest rates eased on Friday, the U.S. dollar lost significant value.   You can fend off one or the other, but not both.

“Bye, bye, Miss American Pie…  drove my Chevy to the levee and the levee was dry… singing this will be the day G.M. died….”