Blog Archives

Bankruptcy Watch – NV Broadcasting files 11

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

NV Broadcasting owns 14 TV stations and has filed for bankruptcy.   Several other TV station owners are already in bankruptcy and Sinclair is considering it.   NV is located in Atlanta, and is “turning over the company” to its private equity lenders.

Meanwhile, BloomBama News Service says the economy is rebounding because the price of gasoline went up.

Bankruptcy Watch – Chicago Cubs

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

The Chicago Cubs baseball team is owned by the Tribune Corporation, currently in bankruptcy.   The LA Times reports that the Cubs may go into bankruptcy to make it easier for the club to be sold.   You may remember that the Tribune company wanting to sell the Cubs was the genesis of what ultimately ended up in Governor Blago being caught trying to blackmail the Tribune Corporation into firing members of its editorial board.  The Tribune company being unable to sell the Cubs to raise money then declared bankruptcy.

Bankruptcy Watch – J.L. French

Monday, July 13th, 2009

Now that the Geithner GM plan to “take” the “good” GM assets has been brute forced through the bankruptcy courts, the companies owed money by the now worthless “Bad” GM will start all falling over.   J.L. French makes aluminum components for all of the “big 3”.

The account in the Detroit Free Press mentions that American Axle, another automotives parts suppplier in Detroit will also probably have to file bankruptcy.   And the dominoes keep falling…  along with the TOTUS…

It’s kind of hard to make cars without the parts.

Bankruptcy Watch – Sinclair Broadcasting

Monday, July 13th, 2009

According to the Baltimore MD Business Journal, Sinclair Broadcasting has filed an 8-K form (Material Event) stating that they may be forced to file Chapter 11. Sinclair used to be in the radio business, but sold that part of the company about 10 years ago. They operate 38 TV stations, and have been hard hit by the drop in TV advertising for automobiles.  

Not mentioned in the story is Sinclair was also the target of a boycott in 2004 for planning to run a TV show that showed Vietnam Hero Senator John “F” Kerry in an unfavorable light.

Are you stimulated yet?

Monday, July 13th, 2009

The Metro North transit system operates a feeder line using diesel equipment that runs from Bridgeport up to Waterbury.   The line was closed today for about a month for a project to replace 12,500 ties and replace a bridge crossing the river.  

The line used to be an important freight line, but as the smelting and armament businesses were put out of business, the freight traffic dried up.  The only remaining use of the line is this commuter train that runs back and forth.   Further north up the same track is a rail museum that runs excursions, and the tracks continue north to Torrington, where the tracks end.

So I’m thinking….  how big of a boondoggle is this?   Now I’m a guy who loves trains, but not stupid governments.   The roadbed from my casual looking appears  better maintained than most mainline freight lines.   So I start looking to see if there are any published ridership statistics for this line can come up with a cost per passenger for the project.

What I found was much more interesting.  

http://bobbyderailed.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default

This person works as a conductor on that line, and has written some of his experiences.   The high level summary is the “regulars” on the line are mostly people going back and forth to Bridgeport to see their probation officer, methadone clinic or drug dealer.   It’s a real dose of reality, especially for those of you who think Connecticut is full of rich white people.  (This is not a “slam” of the blog writer – he seems like a very decent guy, just disturbed by what he sees every day)

The MTA doesn’t state whether or not this is a “stimulus” funded project, but that seems likely.   By the way, the MTA is perpetually broke. 

Another New York area transit agency that is part of the MTA – the Long Island Rail Road –  was coaching its retirees how to milk the Federal government, with virtually 100% of retirees claiming “job related disabilities” immediately after they retired.  [NY Times Video]. Part of why the scheme worked was that the RailRoad Retirement Board has no motivation to say “no”, and keeps their jobs by saying “Yes”.

Keep this in mind if you are considering that “Single Payer” health care coverage is a good idea.

Bankruptcy Watch – CIT

Saturday, July 11th, 2009

This is CIT, not CitiGroup.   THIS IS HUGE.

CIT is a commercial lender.  They loan money to businesses.   They had tried to get FDIC coverage on their obligations, but the FDIC has said no way.  FDIC coverage is for retail banks  (which is what Paulson/Geithner/FDIC should have said to American Express and GE Capital).   They had also been involved with mortgage investments, which they have already exited.

According to Reuters, CIT has retained a bankruptcy firm and is writing up the paperwork to file bankruptcy.   Commercial lending (funding of shopping centers, office buildings, factories, leases of airplanes and rail cars, factoring of receivables) tends to take a bit longer to go into default than consumer lending.

This might be the first indirect fallout of the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies.  By setting the precedent that Tim Geithner can brute force companies through bankruptcy, forcing the government and non-secured creditors to the head of the line and leaving the bondholders with all the worthless junk, that is going to kill the ability of companies to raise money by selling secured bonds by companies that have any hint of financial problems.    There is no free lunch.   The “quick fix” has unintended consequences.

CIT will announce its earnings on July 23rd.  That seems the logical date to also announce their restructuring.  The company lost about $1 a share in the first quarter of 2009.   A year ago their stock sold for about $60 a share, it is now approaching $1 a share, which is the kiss of death for a publicly traded stock.

In addition to what a bankruptcy will do to people holding stock and bonds, clients who rely on them for working capital (like selling receivables to get the cash sooner) will have to find another commercial bank.   If the clients themselves are on shaky ground, they will have trouble finding access to loans on their existing terms, and they could ultimately cascade into this dark deep hole being dug by Tim Geithner.

Tim Geithner and Mr Paulson created a “temporary” commercial lending facility run by the U.S. Treasury and funded by the Federal Reserve that is “cherry picking” the least risky and most profitable commercial lending clients, which will ultimately bury all of the commercial banks if it doesn’t go away (There is no such thing as a temporary government program).  

If you’re in business, you can’t compete against the government and survive, because the government owns all the weapons.   That’s why the notion that the US government and Health Insurance companies competing will never work.  Either it is extremely naive or it is deliberate strategy for complete government control after capitalism “fails”.

Nasdaq’s Krispy Kreme

Saturday, July 11th, 2009

During the depression, a company was started in Winston-Salem, North Carolina (center of the Tobacco Universe) called Krispy Kreme.  They made donuts that are pretty much devoid of any nutritional value other than lots of sugar and fat – but CHEAP.   The company was very popular and quickly grew.

The basic business model as they grew was – they developed a machine that did almost all of the work of making the donuts, and the machine in operation was an attraction within the store to take the kids to and show the machine making donuts.

Stores had a counter with places to sit and hot coffee.  Stores were open 24 hours a day and are a social gathering place for the community, especially at night when nothing else is open in small Southern towns.  People would go there and light up a cigarette, buy a few donuts and a cup of coffee and talk to their friends for an hour or two.  It was a favorite place for college kids to go when pulling an all nighter studying for a test, with the easy availability of lots of sugar and caffeine.  Invariably, the people working behind the counter were Social Security age women with gray hair and hair nets, and being smart wasn’t a job requirement.

The donuts made in the store were also packaged and sold at local grocery stores with trucks delivering them fresh each day.  The company also engaged in aggressive fundraising – if your boy scout troop or high school band wanted to make money, Krispy Kreme would send a truck loaded with 1000s of boxes of donuts hundreds of miles away and the kids would spread out ringing doorbells selling donuts for $1 a dozen… (1960s).   That’s probably how most people became aware of Krispy Kreme if you didn’t live in the South.   Krispy Kreme is as much a fixture of the Southern culture as Hardee’s, Morrison’s Cafeteria  and Waffle House.

Enter the Nasdaq bubble of the late 1990s – Krispy Kreme was one of the last companies to “go public” before the Nasdaq Bubble burst.  In June 2000, Krispy Kreme was talked into launching an IPO to raise about $60m organized by Germany’s Deutsche Bank, with loan participation from Wachovia and Branch bank – two banks located in North Carolina.  The idea was that the infusion of cash would speed up the expansion of the company into new territory.   People who had ever lived near a Krispy Kreme store would flock to one and stand in line for hours to get their Krispy Kreme fix.  (the company immediately fled to the NYSE)

Now being burdened with a large amount of debt (Yes, I am drawing a parallel to the radio business), the “New” Krispy Kreme became “modern” to increase their free cash flow – modeling themselves after Starbucks.  Instead of a counter with crowded seating and strangers talking to each other, you walk though a line in single file and sit at a table so far away from every other table you can totally avoid any human contact.   The coffee was replaced by bottled water, mocha,  and fresh fruit juices.   Little old ladies with hairnets were replaced with young gay men and other appropriately “diverse” people.   And No Smoking. [I’m describing the store here in Connecticut that opened around 2003].  Sounds like a European or Californian concept of Krispy Kreme – in fact the company expanded into Europe, and most of the United States.

But most importantly, the donuts were EXPENSIVE.    They were the same old cheap ingredients made by the same machines, but were even more expensive than Dunkin Donuts or the donuts already for sale in grocery stores or old fashioned bakeries.  It seemed to me they “dialed back” the machine to have it make the smallest possible donut it could make and still be cooked.

The “big excitement” of opening day lasted about a week.  Those who knew  Krispy Kreme and were counting the days (me!) were stunned how the new management totally missed the point of what they were selling.  The “New” Krispy Kreme thought the essense of KK was the red sign in the window that says “Hot Donuts” when the machine is running.  Those who had never experienced Krispy Kreme reacted with “I don’t get it – these are total junk and priced higher that what my local bakery charges”.   Without a positive impression, local grocery stores were not interested in carrying them.   If they tried, they didn’t sell at $6/dozen and would just go stale.

By 2005, the company was in serious financial trouble (surprised?).  In 2007, with their bank loans coming due, they decided to come out with the Whole Wheat doughnut, for the health conscious.  How clueless can one company be?

Franchises were folding (one of the major franchisees declared bankruptcy in 2006), stores were closed,  donut production was moved to fewer stores, and the finished donuts shipped to the stores that didn’t have enough volume to justify running a machine.

For the first time in probably three years, I decided to pay a visit to the local Krispy Kreme to see how things are working out.   The store was empty.  There was nobody in line at the drivethru.   The person on the other end of the drivethru speaker was a timid young women of Asian background who spoke in a whisper.  The donuts were okay (now up to $7/dozen).  I’ve learned by reading Wikipedia that this store in Milford, CT is the last Krispy Kreme still in operation in New England – all the rest have been shut down.

In 2008, the company reduced the transfat content of its donuts.  (did I mention the point of their doughuts is that they are anti-health food?).  The company stock peaked near $55 in 2002, and is now down to $2.57.  They’ve accumulated losses since going public of about $300 million.  They’re making a small profit still, but all of the cash is going to try to pay down their huge debts.    They breached their loan agreement in 2007, and were granted a reprieve in 2009 by ponying up $20 million in cash.

Donuts are very cheap to make, especially with an automated machine.   The “light bulb” hasn’t gone on yet that if you have no sales volume, employees standing around with nothing to do – but a product with a very high markup, the way out of your problems is to compete on price to get back the efficiencies of scale of running that donut machine 24 hrs a day and rebuilding the brand.  And tell the European managers to go back home.  I don’t think any of that is going to happen and they will soon be a memory.

Bankruptcy Watch – Kellwood

Friday, July 10th, 2009

Kellwood is an apparel  company that markets Phat Farm, Sag Harbor and Vince clothing lines.   Headquartered in Saint Louis and employing about 2,000 people, it is expected to default on its loans next Wednesday and file Chapter 11.

Wall Street Journal Story

Surely the millions of ACORN workers will need uniforms – this could be a win-win deal when Tim Geithner “Saves” this company from itself.

Bankruptcy Watch – Bender Shipbuilding

Wednesday, July 1st, 2009

Bender Shipbuilding, a 91 year old ship building and repair company in Mobile, Alabama has been forced into involuntary bankruptcy.  There aren’t all that many U.S. based shipbuilding companies.   The Obama machine rolls on

Bankruptcy Watch – Westwood One

Friday, June 26th, 2009

There was a strange development today.   Westwood One was essentially taken over by its bondholders a few months ago.   There was what should have been a “pro forma” meeting today with the Westwood One stockholders, to approve a 200-1 reverse stock split, and to increase the number of authorized shares.     Westwood One’s stock has been delisted from the NYSE and now trades on the OTCBB at about 5 cents a share.   The logical reason for such a drastic reverse stock split would be to enable the company to return to being a listed stock to then sell stock to raise caseh – however the stock price is not the onlyquality  factor in the listing requirements at an exchange.

Jim Bohannon aside, most of what WestWood One does is broadcasting sports.   They have large expensive contracts with the NFL , PGA and NCAA.  Competition from other companies (like Sirius/XM) and declining ad revenues might explain today’s action. 

This is entirely speculation – but if Westwood One goes into bankrupcty, they could get out of those contracts – or under the threat of bankruptcy the sports organizations might renegotiate the terms.   Westwood One also has a 10 year contract with CBS Radio to sell commericals and provide technical services.

Westwood One has an ownership equity of –224 million, and lost $16 million in the first 3 months of 2009.