Today is poll day apparently – being the end of the quarter.
In the national race, Rasmussen shows Trump +4 over Hillary. They didn’t include Gary Johnson (Libertarian) or the Green Party. While nobody realistically expects Johnson to win, you can’t get an accurate poll without them as choices
With just Trump vs Hillary:
Rasmusussen => has Trump +4
Investor’s business daily => Hillary +4
PPP => Hillary +4
Reuters (British) +> Hillary +10
Add in Johnson & Stein
IBD => Hillary +1
PPP => Hillary +4
Reuters => Hillary +11
Reuters is not an American company and very much represents the Financial Establishment that Trump is fighting against. I don’t trust their poll at all.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Reuters_June_25_to_29_2016.pdf
They start out by first asking what issues matter to you (from their list), then how Barack Obama is doing. If I’m getting these questions, the expectation is clear. People are not voting for Trump because of a detailed rational decision process. Government overreach is not offered as an option.
Reuters is polling registered voters, not likely voters. Democrats are less likely to actually vote. The Trump vs Hillary question doesn’t mention randomizing the answers, and Hillary is listed first.
This poll is so incongruous with the behavior of the Republican Party, my head is hurting.
Killer. Its all about how you ask the question. Thats why I never believe anything on CBS ‘News’ . Survey says :
Do you think Guns protect people? 85% yes 10% no 5 % don’t know
Do you think Taxes are to high ? 55% yes 45% no
Is there aliens from outer space visiting Earth ? 50% yes 48% No 2% were alien
Do you think Hilliery is hung like a Brahma Bull ? 70% yes 30% no
Its all about the question
Have a good one !
Parrott
Parrott…on your last question I would vote YES
Today’s poll from Rasmussen has Trump up +2 over Hillary. The Reuters Labour Party poll shows Hillary up +11, only +9 if you include the Libertarian and Green candidates.
Someone is lying. I think the real number is closer to Hillary +4, but to win Trump needs to be +5