It takes a little work to create a useful spreadsheet but worth the effort.
There are 3,636 precincts to be recounted, with 3,285,426 votes
As of the Spreadsheet posted December 2nd,
recounts of 346,133 votes (10.5%) are complete.
Muddying the waters is that in the city of Milwaukee, absentee and provisional ballots are being recounted at a central location, which means they are currently omitted from the counts. About 1/5 of all votes cast in the city were absentee or provisional.
Of the precincts that have completed their recount in the city, the absentee and provisional ballots are running 11:1 for Hillary. For the city as a whole, Hillary won 4:1. In theory, provisional and absentee ballots should not be significantly different than the population as a whole. My guesstimate is there 7,000 fraudulent ballots for Hillary so far in Milwaukee and probably 40,000 over all.
Wisconsin used to have a problem with welfare recipients double dipping in the city of Chicago and Milwaukee. Greyhound and Amtrak did a brisk business with people riding back and forth to pick up their checks. Since everything is EBT and direct deposit now, they don’t even have to do that anymore.
If you back out the Milwaukee ballots for now, the net change so far (10.5%) is
Jill Stein +24 (Menominee only reported Trump and Clinton) Gary Johnson +13 Hillary Clinton +3 Donald Trump +5
Day 3 Update (26%) Jill Stein +41 Gary Johnson +28 Hillary Clinton +45 Net +2 Donald Trump +43
Day 4 Update (34%) Jill Stein +41 Gary Johnson +19 Hillary Clinton +71 Donald Trump +110 Net +39
Day 5 Update (42%) Jill Stein +31 Gary Johnson +19 Hillary Clinton +63 Donald Trump +84 Net +21
Day 6 Update (54%) Jill Stein +50 Gary Johnson +42 Hillary Clinton +142 Net +3 Donald Trump +139
Day 7 Update (72%) Jill Stein +50 Gary Johnson +42 Hillary Clinton +492 Net +82 Donald Trump +410
Day 8 Update (83%) Jill Stein +64 Gary Johnson +63 Hillary Clinton +557 Net +60 Donald Trump +497
Cleaned up spreadsheet attached now
Does anyone else think of Red Skelton and moon creatures when you hear the word Menominee?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cK5pl6W2CFE
So what is the upper bound or reasonableness of the ratio of Hillary to Trump votes before fraud or voter intimidation is the likely explanation?
Let’s assume blacks in Milwaukee vote 95% for Hillary and some wards are 100% black, that would make the ratio 19:1. Let’s look at wards that were 35:1 or more and see if we see a pattern to the polling locations:
In fairness, not wanting to be called racist, here is the list of polling precincts statewide that voted 5:1 or more for Trump
I’m convinced Alex Jones is correct. The plan is that Democratic controlled areas will drag their feet and fail to complete the recount by December 13th, missing the Federal deadline and causing the electors to not vote on December 19th
Stein has withdrawn her challenge in Pennsylvania and is shopping for a Federal judge to intervene. President Obama already explained the Federal Government does not make the rules for state elections.
Michigan is on hold due to a challenge by the Trump folks
The Federal “safe harbor” deadline is next Tuesday. This 42% is the low hanging fruit – feeding a stack of optical scanning forms back through the machine another time. The typical precinct has around 1000 votes. Doing that probably can recount about 300 an hour, so should have been completed in a day IF there are people to do the work.
If a federal judge can force Michigan to recount, I am confident he can delay the meeting of electors. Since we have fedex now instead of the pony express to hand deliver the certified results to Washington DC, we have a little extra buffer
So if nothing unusual happens in Milwaukee, Hillary should finish up about +105 votes, a bit short of the 20,000 she needs
The Federal judge has refused to call off the Wisconsin recount.
Milwaukee County says they have finished their recount
http://www.wisn.com/article/milwaukee-county-completes-historic-recount/8481873
That may not mean what it sounds like. The City of Milwaukee has its own election commission. That would be great news if the statements includes the city. Time is running out