Vladimir Putin has cleared his schedule without an obvious reason. Stephen Cohen has made it increasingly clear that Putin feels he has little option but to directly engage the United States in directly military confrontation, because of both Syria and the NATO buildup of forces and supplies in the Balkans.
A lot of smart military minds sit around “war gaming” scenarios, trying to think what enemies might do, bounded by their capabilities, logistics, resources, alliances and tactics and explore scenarios until a theoretical outcome is reached.
Russian military vessels have been playing chicken with the USS Eisenhower Carrier Battle Group. Let’s war game. Assume these are dry runs for an actual attack on the USS Eisenhower and they succeed in sinking the aircraft carrier in a preemptive attack.
Now you are President Obama, spawn of a KGB breeding program. Your move.
What do you do?