So far, Hillary has a much lower % than Obama in 2012 in every state, but I would not read much into that – yet
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I’m watching The NY Times web site. Their primary coverage is why I decided to pay them $8 a month, although I think the coverage is free without a subscription. Just the numbers, and a very fast web site (unlike Real Clear Politics). You can drill down County by county. NC is closing – last round of drinks
Polls are staying open late in the 40% black Durham County because of the failure of the electronic checkin system
I’ve turned off comment screening,
NY Times is showing the NC early voting results, but showing count at < 1% Shockingly, Hillary has carried Charlotte
The NY Times has a real time needle aggregating the probability – it started at Clinton @ 83% – it is down to 73% – way to go, Virginia
Clinton down to 61%… NC + VA + Fl looks possible as long as Trump doesn’t lose Missouri
Clinton down to 57%! I know they’re just toying with me, like in Pro Wrestling.
Running up on the canvas to throw the match – Utah!
Time to start writing my concession speech. Trump looks strong in Michigan and a solid margin in Florida. They’re just dragging their feet on Louisiana to make it look close. No surprises going against Trump
NY Times just dropped Hillary to 50%.
Hillary down to 47%
Holy smokes, the impossible is becoming possible.FL is definitely going Trump. PA looks Clinton, the big cities are normally Democrat. A lot of Pittsburghers are Democrat, not because they know the issues but because their father and grandfather were also Democrat. People here believe the this is the party of the people. Heavily union.
Trump is expected to lose PA and could still win. Minnesota is Red to this point… Michigan may go for Trump… Louisiana they called, Missouri is red, they’re just stalling on Georgia
Trump is going to win Ohio, despite Kasich’s best effort
NY Times doesn’t even show McMullen in Utah. They might be missing the lead for the night
Hillary now 41% ??
This is all amazing. I have Fox News on and Yahoo which has the map by counties. This is really exciting. Maybe, just maybe he will make it.
Reporting of numbers seems to have stalled. Must by Ivan hopping in the ring with the metal folding chair
Pedestal: tell the troops we need votes!!!
Hillary down to 39% although VA just slipped into blue – must be the box from the prisons
She won by just 60,000 votes. I worry about tight races, very easy to suddenly find ballots in people’s cars and in alphabetical order.
It’s 10 AM – do you know where your President is? Hillary down to 32%
Fred where are you getting your percentages?
Ny times web site
I don’t care for their opinions, but I still trust their reporting
Hillary at 27% – get your Trump champagne on ice?
It looks like the Senate will remain Republican, according to Fox but no explanations.
Have I mentioned The NY Times? 😉 They have Senate at > 95%
Hillary down to 20%
The fat lady is outside smoking her cigarette
Do I trust Pravda to give me real numbers? She is at 21%. Time for some Glen
Fiddich on the rocks
FL is going Trump, 99% reporting and Trump is up by 2%. NC Trump up by 3% with 70% reporting. The fat lady is beginning her aria.
Eat that Kasich…OH Trump
NC is 93% to go for Trump
McCrory is behind and Republicans are losing State House seats..?️??️??️?
Virginia ( NOVA) -> epic fail once again. I wish the we would have crushed her here in Rural Virginia like rural Florida is hammering clinky !
Oh yeah Dow futures down 500 points, reported on CBS. Going to punish us for not going establishment crook/NWO.
punks
Parrott
Hillary down to 14%
Both the House and Senate will continue in Republican control.
Come on McCrory!
Missouri called for Trump – not surprise, but it was in doubt. I guess the people in zferguson stayed home
Parrott didn’t vote enough times
They’re holding back Ohio, Georgia, NC, and Florida decisions so people in California think they mattered. Polls close in CA in 22 minutes
PA is at 62% leaning towards Trump. I cannot find what is happening with Toomey vs. McGinty
Toomey was in trouble for a while. The Republicans have problems with the college educated women in the suburban counties around Philadelphia
Hillary at 11%…. “I’m shrinking…”
LOL Yes she is ! And take that flying monkey ‘bon-jovi with her and Bill !
They are shittin in their Britches over on CBS. Scott pelley doesn’t know what to do
Charlie and Nora are bitter.
Sheppard Smith on Fox is almost happy ! He asked AB Stoddard what state does Trump need now that he has Florida , Ohio and NC.
she said, either Michigan or Wisconsin and he may get both ! LOL
Unreal ! what am I going to do with all this food I ordered from Alex ?
dow down 610
we’re going to get spanked.
parrott
McGinty leading by 5% not good.
9%
I wonder what models the NYT is using
I can tell it is very sophisticated. It’s the pro version, probably looking precinct by precinct
What should I say to my cousin in Cambridge, Mass?
My cousin (about Jaymar’s age) says he knew since last week that Trump was going to win. He has friends at MIT who work on AI stuff. To the best of my knowledge, he has drawn a government paycheck all his working life. He seems unaware that corporations paying taxes are what fund government projects.
LOL Ask him if he is legal… or he is going home.
Just kidding. My son-in-law dad is from Mex and today he bought a t-shirt that says…MR. TRUMP, I AM LEGAL
LMAO !!
Ohio called for Trump
7%
Hillary at 6%. This is really incredible.
Hey, she won New Mexico!
Trump leading in Wisconsinis unexpected
McMullen is only 20% in Utah. Put Mike Lee on suicide watch
Feingold just got kicked for the second time in Wisconsin
2 minutes until they flip over all the cards
FL finally
NY Times is waiting on FL… fool me once, etc
Hillary down to 4%
I wonder how long before Hillary accepts the truth. She might want to pull the usual Democrat trick recount, recount, recount until you win.
Hillary will indeed break the glass ceiling in the Javits when she starts screaming
US stock futures are down 4%
Mexican peso probably in trouble 😉
Hillary won California – shocking!
I wonder if Hillary will be in fact prosecuted under President Trump. He said he would pursue it.
Hillary for Prison 2017
I have Trump up 221 to 211, but that is without Georgia, NC and Florida
I love artistic posters
NC called – 236-211
There is a clown in Fox News talking about “if Hillary wins tonight.” Denial is a horrible disease.
Scary clown?
A Hillary pundit. Pretty scary actually.
Iowa finally went Red… VA and PA are probably lost cause – Michigan and Wisconsin are much in play
It’s amusing to watch their headlines morph over time
Just as a Carter gave us a Reagan, history is repeating itself. My fear is that Trump is no Reagan.
President Pence.
I’m a Christian, a Conservative and a Republican – in that order
you know Trump may get tired of bureaucracy a,d walk away, or not run in 4 years.
Pence is ok in my book. I may move to Indiana or NC. Virginia is going blue with NOVA.
parrott
My artistic mind at play
Hell Yeal Hey Hill, I hear that Orange is the new Black ,
LOL
come on Nevada !
Harry reid Free vicky the goat !
parrott
Oh Sheriff Arpaio lost tonight. He is a good man. Sorry to see him go.
oh no, they were after him.
That will be the only thing the TV shows talk about on Wednesday
They want Hillary in Prison over on Infowars. They are starting to relax a bit .
They are showing champaign bottles
hold you horse’s people
parrott
New Hampshire is slow on counting.
It’s the Canadian effect
Virginia called for Hillary
Trump 236 Hillary 224
(Georgia is already in my number)
Ny times called Florida
Trump 265 – Hillary 224
Saying that olo word gets you put in the moderation queue
In PA Clinton is not really way ahead of Trump I don’t know but this would be a miracle if it happens. I don’t think it will happen, however…
Utah and Nevada and Alaska and Georgia are in the 265 number
Trump will get one from Maine that is not included
The pundits are dumbfounded. Some people in Hillary’s Glass Palace are crying.
GA finally
Iowa and Wisconsin look solid
Iowa is in my total, Wisconsin (10) is not
Washington for Clinton, no surprise
Arizona (11) is in my total, but closer than I like
Juan Williams the Hillary shill is besides himself. He might commit suicide tonight.
Colorado for hillary puff puff
265-233
PA with 79% reporting Hillary is ahead by very little about 55,000
Three rural counties in PA have not reported anything yet
Mexican Peso down -13%
Wisconsin’s 10 is currently in my Hillary total. It will finish the race…
However, Trump will not have a huge buffer for a last minute surprise
The NYT is projecting almost 300 electoral votes for Trump. I don’t quite see that, but I hope they are right.
That would mean both Michigan and Wisconsin – quite plausible
They are giving Trump Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania
Utah called for Trump – doesn’t affect my numbers
It’s midnight. Hillary is drowsy
Trump has 250,000 lead in Georgia with 90% counted. Trying to make it look closer than it is
I just shamed them into calling it. Doesn’t affect my 265 number
Still people crying at Hillary’s Glass Palace. Some are leaving with their tails tucked in. This is lovely.
New Hampshire + 1 from Maine = 270, even without Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania
Ooh, PA just turned pink
he wins PA its over.
I bet you ashtrays, lamps, umbrellas, glasses are flying areound Hil’s room
would not want to be there !
they are holding up the Dewey Wins newspaper on Inforwars Laughing, : )
man this is unreal dow down 700+ they like Trump in Russia !
I like Russia better than Iran. No war
except BLM .
George soros spent two million dollars in AZ to get rid of Sheriff Joe. They are saying that Trump may put Joe in charge of ICE
Laughing
parrott
This is gonna cost me a ton of money, and I could not be happier
48.3 to 48.2 TRUMP
Only Lebanon County left. I think that would probably be Hillary’s. Too Close to Philly.
PA is going to the closest, but looks as if Hillary will inch a bit. It will be a tenth of a percentage.
Iowa is solid, Arizona looks OK, so no backsliding
Babs striesand and lady gaga must go to mexico or canada !
and the rest of those dum f’s alec baldwin, amy schuler go get !
they said they were ,, get ! don’t let the door hit you in the arse !
Laughing really laughing
I suspect that this election of Trump will cause riots and unrest. I hope he extends his hands to heal the rift created by Obama. But let them come to my street. We’ve been ready for a very long time.
Drudge is calling for trump and alex did too
Toomey is ahead of McGinty by very little three tenths of 1% with 95% reporting
I wonder if a few senators will flip to Dems and put schumer in charge
Trump is +100,000 in Wisconsin – that nails it even if PA slips away
NY Times says 95+ chance for ztrump in Wisconsin. That’s all she wrote
in PA 48.2% a piece tied
New Hampshire is a dead heat, but it was a toss up going in
I think Michigan will be for Trump. The only precincts left are rural and therefore Republicans. Yeah Michigan will put him at 270 even. I still don’t see the 305 the NYT is projecting.
Think cheese
Trump lost Nevada – down to 259
yeah I hated to see that , Reid is as bad as McAweful
How is McCrory?
Trump Leading in PA, NH, and MI at 12:44 AM
The 303 number assumes trump loses Maine and NH, wins PA, Mich and Wisconsin, and not lose Arizona or Alaska
I cannot go to sleep until the final curtain
Tonight in one picture
The polls in Alaskan Russia close in 15 minutes – that’s 3, Arizona is 11
I am concerned about the real tight races. The recount, recount scares me
why does roger stone look like harry potter with glasses ?
Juan Williams is still rambling, although I think he went out and took a couple of shots to strengthen his resolve and calm down. He is still in lululand emotionally.
I think Megyn Kelly is going off the deep end now. Bringing back all the “horrible” groping by Trump.
Trump in Michigan 48-46. It’s happening.
Wayne Conty is holding all its votes, and two rural counties:
So how many votes do you need, Mr Podesto? Damn it, I don’t know until Aramaic County reports
Make that Wastanaw – only 21 of 143 precincts 5 hours after the polls closed – That is Ann Arbor, U of Michigan
Trump in Wisconsin 49-45
The Javits Glass Palace that was to crown the queen is silent. People are leaving. They are trashy people, the amount of trash all over is amazing. Very somber place. That’s where the queen was to be immaculated. She is probably asleep. I hate to be the messenger of the bad news. But… Where is Huma Sandiego?
Pat Toomey won
and he is going to win Pennsylvania, 20 electoral votes
alex is slurring his words.
Scott Pelley keeps asking if there is another way for Big Hill to win over and over ,
Laughing
parrott
Alaska vote is arriving – Trump should win easily
Wisconsin is a done deal, but they’re holding it back
Washtenaw County also has a large prison
They definitely play the peekaboo game in Michigan. washtenaw is sitting on about 100,000 Hillary votes, Kent County (Grand Rapids) is doing the same
Yes, I remember the vote bouncing around like that in the Governor´s race two years ago. Like a 75,000 vote swing in five minutes.
Oh hi! I was hoping you would pop in
The NY Times probably has accurate estimates by precinct for the holes – they say Michigan is 70% Trump. Arizona and Wisconsin are certain Trump
Yes, thank you for tipping us off about the NYT super-computer setup. It is truly amazing (like 538 over the last 8 years, I guess).
hey did you see the crowd outside the white house?
wild kids, BLM, hillary supporters and Trumpsters. its going to break out. They were calling more Secret service in, it looked like chaos.
get out obo, we need to replace the drywall.
parrott
I’m watching numbers, not TV
Maybe if everyone falls asleep, the outcome will change
oh will we have recounts. But I cannot go to sleep I have to see the final
Ny Times has called PA for Trump. Time for parties!
279-239
Without Wisconsin or Michigan
yeah why aren’t they calling it ? somethings up.
PA just declared for trump by the NY times .
parrott
They need to deploy the national guard.
YEAH PA CAME THROUGH
NY Times has pulled PA back, and Alaska went gray
Might be my browser. PA is back
NC Governor race too close to call with 100% reporting
Yeah look at the dynamic statistical tails on the NYT chart showing ¨closest states by default¨ The 95% confidence tail for Wisconsin has Trump up by 2 with the worst result. Arizona is the same, but has a huge tail going from +1 Trump to +9 Trump. As more votes come in, the tails will shrink. PA is currently about half the range of WI.
Minnesota is still a possibility for Trump
Podesta is going to address his crowd at the Javits. But Hillary will not concede
Shocking – CNN did ask Hillary if she would admit defeat, right?
280-238 (Maine)
Podesta dismissed the crowds and gave them hopes. He must be on drugs.
I agree Jamar, what was up with that ?
Laughing Alex just said that Hillary is throwing a fit and cannot come out of her room. They have the pentagram on the floor so she is calling for help.
Big crowd at the white house.
stuff going on in the back ground
Yeah Fox asked her after the last debate and she refused to answer. All that ado about Trump saying he would not concede until he examines all. There was an outrage but THAT IS WHAT THEY HAVE DONE NOW. No concession speech.
So if Hillary is asleep, would it stop Trump from claiming victory?
I bet you he is waiting for Michigan, at least.
Alaska + Arizona puts trump at 279 without Michigan or Wisconsin or Minn or New Hampshire
NY Times just added the 1 from Maine – already in my 280… AZ is 11, Alaska is 3
Analysis paralysis
Nebraska has one vote in limbo – they are the other oddball state
NY Times just gave him that 5th Nebraska vote – Tidying up before the big reveal
man I am not going to be worth anything at work tomorrow.
wifey crashed at 1 am
this is killer.
establishment is mad probably
I just went channel hopping through CBS, ABC, and NBC and they are in total denial. They really believe there is hope, that tomorrow will be a better day. Even talking about the favorite word among Democrats… RECOUNT. It might be sometimes tomorrow before Hillary says something but it will not be a concession.
Same goes for the columnists on the NYT election website page… seething opinion pieces already posted, followed by comments filled with (typical) invective about “uneducated hate-filled, racist, homophobic, Trump voters.”
Truly gratfying to see liberals choking on their own rhetoric and polling bias.
It seems those Bernie voters paid back Hillary and the DNC in spades! In several states, the margin of victory is the percentage voting for Johnson.
I bet the media thinks whoever calls it first gets a bullet from the Clinton Death Squad
Trump is up 75,000 in Wisconsin with 99% counted
Well you have a point there. Have gun, will travel.
MSNBC is still saying that Hillary has a chance if she wins PA, MI, and WI and “the odds are good.” I couldn’t help but laugh.
So if Pennsylvania does revert and Trump,loses Michigan and NH and MN but wins Wisconsin, he has 270
La la la… washtenaw conty MI took the ballots home for the night apparently
IT’S OFFICIAL. PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP
Pence is talking…
Democrats forced to take the ‘red pill’ tonight… prepare for a mass meltdown.
Thanks for having this site and the insightful things everyone here says, especially to you Fred……….
Thank you! I’m glad you were here.
Trump is talking. He says Hillary called him to congratulate him.
Lies! damned lies!
Ok, so Trump didn’t quit, and Americans didn’t get scared of being called bad names or scary clown attacks.
I concede I underestimated my countrymen. Tomorrow is the first day of the rest of the United States
He has already said 23 “unbelievables!” and 17 “tremendouses.” I am going to bed. Good night guys. Thanks, Fred for this site. I enjoy our comments tonight. Let’s hope that tomorrow morning wont be like the morning after election day 2000.
290-228
(Giving Trump Arizona – NH and MN to Hillary)
Whew !
thanks fred,
parrott out,
Why were there 9 Republicans running for US Senate in Louisiana?
So McCrory may have lost, but Repblicans have veto proof majorities in the legislature. If they stay unified, they can steamroll legislation right over Cooper
>”So McCrory may have lost:<
Man that is such BS ! They don't know how good of a Gov. the have, until you get a carpetbagger like McAweful !.
Big list of fools better be packing thier bags to get the hell out of the US this morning. Thats you whoopie Goldberg ! GTFO ! and take that little sh!t Bon-jovi with you !
Laughing my butt off ,
parrott
NC again elected a Democrat as Attorney General
On a certain level, I’m happy for McCrory. He’s not cutthroat enough to play the game. I could see him in Trump’s cabinet – maybe Secretary of Energy, since he worked for Duke Power much of his life
You mean this was not a dream???????
I guess that depends on your perspective. Trump won Arizon, but everyone is asleep. Michigan, Minnesota and NH are probably going to Clinton
The NY Times shows Trump with 3 electoral votes in Michigan, which I don’t understand
Hillary was just given Minnesota – Easy call. Michigan and New Hampshire will probably stay open for days. When they give Arizona to Trump, he will have 289 – probably the final total
Votes finally all reported from Washtenaw – Trump up by 12,000 – not enough precincts left in Wayne County to change the outcome, although a recount is inevitable
The irony is if the Democrats had run anyone other than Hillary, they would have won in a landslide. You makes your choices, you live with the consequences
100% in for Michigan – trump ahead by 13,000. At this point, it is just for the history books
IMO, Michigan is the “coup de grâce” of this election.
Have you ever gone smelt fishing?
Nope. Why do you ask?
It’s a big thing to do up there in the spring. I see now the DNR restricts people due to overfishing. There used to be too many to catch and people would fill their freezers with ’em. Nothing a good wife or equivalent enjoys more than cleaning a big haul of smelt for her man ??
LOL… yeah, lots of fishing up here. I know DNR imposed a limit, but we also have zebra mussel problems and DNR has placed lamprey eel traps on some rivers.
Just wait until the Asian carp arrive. I hope they eat zebra mussels. Then we can import cane toads to get rid of the carp
My uncle (the father of my cousin in Cambridge MA) was a snowbird when I was a child. They lived in Pittsburgh, then they packed up around Thanksgiving to drive the Cadillac to Saint Petersburg FL and arranged it so that they spent one more day in Florida than in Pennsylvania to keep Florida as their legal and tax residence.
It apparently was a big social event – the same people made the same trip every year and would arrange to meet for dinner, etc. I’m going to guess driving is now replaced with hopping on Southwest for a couple hours.
Some people fly, but most drive… there’s an exodous of 5th wheels, vans, and motorhomes in the spring & fall.
We drive our ‘rig’… which is a Ford truck pulling a vintage 1970 Airstream (which I’ve been restoring). No exposure to bed bugs or other hotel room biohazards.
Part of the reason we drive is because we both work, and need to bring 4 computers, equipment, tools, etc. We store a car at both ends for daily use and errands, and the truck serves as a second vehicle if needed.
You’re in for the entire experience, I see. I figured driving to Arizona was more than a lot of people would want to do.
I was spending time yesterday watching YouTube videos on how to park 18 wheelers in truck stops. I missed my calling, but my bad eyesight made that not an option.
That profession is headed the way of canal barge operators. Maybe you will be able to sit in the front and smoke pot and watch the driverless truck roll down the highway as you stream the Dead’s classic “Truckin'”.
The old 70s have left the building. The new 70s on the horizon will be our ages.
The government should encourage private companies to build roads without passenger cars and few if any intersections, and pave them with a durable surface not damaged by heavy trucks, and then run big long trains of trucks with only 1 or two drivers under computer speed control and collision avoidance.
Oh hold on, I just described railroads using containerized freight.
It’s an experience alright. 😉 Our setup is a ‘compact’ compared to most. Over 50% of the people in our ‘snowbird community’ are from Michigan and most of them make the drive.
The size and length of some 5th wheels and motorhomes is disconcerting, and I think there needs to be a revised CDL requirement for those owner/drivers.
We usually try to roll with the truckers and truckstops for relative safety and convenience (fresh coffee, parking, fuel).
Pat McCrory has focused his attention on Durham County, where he believes he lost the election. He lost the election because of rich white people in Northern Mecklenburg County.
http://wncn.com/2016/11/12/mccrory-seeks-durham-county-recount-90000-votes-by-hand/
Durham county’s turnout was not out of line with other parts of the state. They had significant problems on Election Day with the breakdown of the checkin system and voting was extended an extra hour. McCrory is behind by about 5,000 votes, but provisional ballots have not been counted yet. That won’t be complete for another week.
It would be nice if McCrory could pull it out but I’m not holding my breath.
My guess is provisional ballots will swing Democratic. Military ballots may drift in, but I doubt that will make up 5000 votes. Durham County has roughly the same racial breakdown as the city of Charlotte, except fewer Asians. Durham County went 71% for Hillary, which is about 5% more than Mecklenburg County. Since entry of the numbers was done manually, anything is possible.
The other problem that is less visible is the Democrats got control of the NC Supreme Court