Category Archives: 2016 election

Suez in 1956

Posted on March 11, 2016 by Fred Stiening

It’s pretty inconceivable after watching last night’s Republican debate with Hugh Hewitt’s attempt to attack Trump over his alleged “neutrality” on the Israeli / Palestinian problem, and Marco Rubio’s assertion that Gaza is “Israeli land”…. but… After Egypt nationalized the … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, War in SW Asia / Middle East | 4 Comments

Let’s make a deal

Posted on March 9, 2016 by Fred Stiening

Rubio significantly underperformed the polls and estimates on March 8th. If the objective is to get Trump out of the way, Rubio needed to put his big boy pants on and leave the campaign over the weekend. While Cruz won … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 5 Comments

Electoral College Math

Posted on March 8, 2016 by Fred Stiening

In the end, the national preference polls have nothing to do with who is elected President. The electoral “college” has 538 votes. You need 270 to win. Traditionally each state votes as a winner take all block. There is zero … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 1 Comment

Super Saturday

Posted on March 5, 2016 by Fred Stiening

The AP is calling Kansas for Ted Cruz. The most recent poll had Trump ahead 35-29%. If the AP is right, this is a major shift toward President Cruz. There was no poll for Maine, but Drudge shows early results … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 7 Comments

Cleveland? Really?

Posted on March 5, 2016 by Fred Stiening

The Republican National Convention will be July 18-21 in the Quicken Loans Arena, Ohio, a basketball Arena. The City of Cleveland is not exactly a hospitable location for Republicans. Voter registration is 43,988 Democrats and 7,074 Republican, with 197,000 not … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 25 Comments

John McAffee for President 2016

Posted on March 4, 2016 by Fred Stiening

Just when you think The world can’t get any crazier. Libertarian indeed. I hope he didn’t renounce his US Citizenship in Belize.

Posted in 2016 election | 8 Comments

Super Tuesday summary

Posted on March 1, 2016 by Fred Stiening

The bottom line is there were no big surprises compared to the polls. The delegate counts are shifting very little – these states are proportional, so a few percentage points makes very little change. March 15th is the beginning of … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 18 Comments

The End of the Republican Party as we know it

Posted on February 27, 2016 by Fred Stiening

Republican voters could not be more clear. About 80% of those with an opinion support either Donald Trump or TEA Party favorite Ted Cruz. They have a clear mandate for drastic change. If nothing changes and Trump doesn’t withdraw (voluntarily … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election | 17 Comments

2016 Presidential Election Estimates

Posted on February 26, 2016 by Fred Stiening

“Safe” Electoral College votes: 538 votes, 270 to win As of November 8th, 2016 Hillary 303 – 212 Trump Weighted with national poll margins (Explanation) Hillary 235 – 221 Trump

Posted in 2016 election | Comments Off on 2016 Presidential Election Estimates

The Sanders campaign is as dead as Antonin Scalia

Posted on February 24, 2016 by Fred Stiening

Take a look at Real Clear Politics collection of polls The only states where Bernie may win are Vermont and Massachusetts. Hillary has an insurmountable lead in California, Texas, Florida, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and even socialist … Continue reading →

Posted in 2016 election, Bernie Sanders, Collapse of America, Hillary Clinton, Michael "Savage" Weiner | 6 Comments